Fantasy football rankings
Ordered by model score inside the weekly pool. Players on a bye, listed out, or missing a game log stay off the board and are listed underneath. Everyone else is still searchable.
Model output
Week 5 · 2026 NFL · computed Sun, Oct 11, 11:50 AM ET · reused for about 6 hours
Scores use real ESPN game logs, the injury report, and opponent defensive splits. They are not projections and not betting advice.
Matchup yards are ESPN's opponent splits for the defenses facing this week's lab pool. The factor compares a defense with that slate average. It is not a league-wide defensive ranking.
QB
#1
Jared Goff
QB · DET · vs ARI
25.5 model score · form 23.2
- Recent form: 23.2 model points per game over the last 3 (20.5, 19.4, 29.8).
- Last game: 20.5 model points. Earlier average in this log: 21.9.
- Usage: 52 pass attempts last game vs 36.3 before that (usage up).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: ARI allows 247.8 passing yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.1.
- Model score 25.5 = 23.2 × 1 × 1.1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Pass yds Pass TD INT Rush Rush yds Rush TD Week 4 CAR L 20.5 412 1 0 0 0 0 Week 3 NYJ W 19.4 269 2 0 4 6 0 Week 2 BUF L 29.8 327 4 0 3 7 0 Week 1 NO W 16.4 206 2 0 2 2 0 #2
Matthew Stafford
QB · LAR · vs BUF
23 model score · form 19.2
- Recent form: 19.2 model points per game over the last 3 (9.7, 20.9, 27).
- Last game: 9.7 model points. Earlier average in this log: 17.3.
- Usage: 51 pass attempts last game vs 37 before that (usage up).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: BUF allows 274 passing yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.2.
- Model score 23 = 19.2 × 1 × 1.2. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Pass yds Pass TD INT Rush Rush yds Rush TD Week 4 PHI W 9.7 317 0 2 3 10 0 Week 3 DEN L 20.9 390 2 2 2 13 0 Week 2 NYG W 27 327 4 1 4 -1 0 Week 1 SF L 4.1 155 0 1 2 -1 0 #3
Tyler Shough
QB · NO · vs MIN
22 model score · form 22
- Recent form: 22 model points per game over the last 3 (15.9, 27.8, 22.4).
- Last game: 15.9 model points. Earlier average in this log: 25.1.
- Usage: 48 pass attempts last game vs 44 before that (usage steady).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: MIN allows 220.3 passing yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 22 = 22 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Pass yds Pass TD INT Rush Rush yds Rush TD Week 4 ATL L 15.9 286 1 0 2 5 0 Week 3 LV L 27.8 255 4 1 1 36 0 Week 2 BAL W 22.4 252 1 0 9 23 1 Week 1 DET L 25.2 410 3 2 4 8 0 #4
Dak Prescott
QB · DAL · vs TB
15.9 model score · form 15.9
- Recent form: 15.9 model points per game over the last 3 (12.6, 18.1, 16.9).
- Last game: 12.6 model points. Earlier average in this log: 21.6.
- Usage: 42 pass attempts last game vs 38.7 before that (usage steady).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: TB allows 234.6 passing yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 15.9 = 15.9 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Pass yds Pass TD INT Rush Rush yds Rush TD Week 5 TB L 12.6 316 1 2 0 0 0 Week 4 HOU W 18.1 335 1 0 2 7 0 Week 3 BAL L 16.9 276 1 0 4 19 0 Week 2 WSH W 29.8 279 4 0 4 26 0
RB
#1
Bijan Robinson
RB · ATL · vs BAL
24.7 model score · form 24.7
- Recent form: 24.7 model points per game over the last 3 (27.7, 35.3, 11.1).
- Last game: 27.7 model points. Earlier average in this log: 25.9.
- Usage: 20 touches last game vs 26.3 before that (usage down).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: BAL allows 100 rushing yards allowed per game (slate average 102.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 24.7 = 24.7 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rush Rush yds Rush TD Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 NO W 27.7 19 145 2 1 2 0 Week 3 GB W 35.3 29 194 2 2 19 0 Week 2 CAR L 11.1 16 72 0 3 9 0 Week 1 PIT L 31.3 21 83 0 8 90 1 #2
James Cook III
RB · BUF · vs LAR
19.5 model score · form 19.5
- Recent form: 19.5 model points per game over the last 3 (16.3, 21.4, 20.9).
- Last game: 16.3 model points. Earlier average in this log: 17.4.
- Usage: 14 touches last game vs 20.7 before that (usage down).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: LAR allows 102 rushing yards allowed per game (slate average 102.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 19.5 = 19.5 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rush Rush yds Rush TD Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 NE L 16.3 12 75 1 2 8 0 Week 3 LAC W 21.4 24 154 1 0 0 0 Week 2 DET W 20.9 21 135 1 1 4 0 Week 1 HOU W 9.9 13 57 0 3 12 0 #3
Bucky Irving
RB · TB · vs DAL
18.1 model score · form 15.1
- Recent form: 15.1 model points per game over the last 3 (31.5, 6.1, 7.8).
- Last game: 31.5 model points. Earlier average in this log: 9.
- Usage: 23 touches last game vs 18 before that (usage up).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: DAL allows 168.4 rushing yards allowed per game (slate average 102.8). Factor 1.2.
- Model score 18.1 = 15.1 × 1 × 1.2. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rush Rush yds Rush TD Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 5 DAL W 31.5 21 165 1 2 10 1 Week 4 GB L 6.1 16 61 0 0 0 0 Week 3 MIN L 7.8 15 46 0 2 12 0 Week 2 CLE L 13 17 89 0 4 1 0 #4
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · vs ATL
16.7 model score · form 18.5
- Recent form: 18.5 model points per game over the last 3 (15.9, 21.9, 17.7).
- Last game: 15.9 model points. Earlier average in this log: 25.
- Usage: 25 touches last game vs 23.7 before that (usage steady).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: ATL allows 48.3 rushing yards allowed per game (slate average 102.8). Factor 0.9.
- Model score 16.7 = 18.5 × 1 × 0.9. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rush Rush yds Rush TD Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 TEN W 15.9 23 73 1 2 6 0 Week 3 DAL W 21.9 26 89 2 1 0 0 Week 2 NO L 17.7 16 68 1 3 19 0 Week 1 IND W 35.3 24 144 3 1 19 0
WR
#1
Davante Adams
WR · LAR · vs BUF
27 model score · form 22.5
- Recent form: 22.5 model points per game over the last 3 (7.2, 20.7, 39.5).
- Last game: 7.2 model points. Earlier average in this log: 21.9.
- Usage: 4 receptions last game vs 6 before that (usage down).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: BUF allows 274 receiving yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.2.
- Model score 27 = 22.5 × 1 × 1.2. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 PHI W 7.2 4 32 0 Week 3 DEN L 20.7 7 137 0 Week 2 NYG W 39.5 8 195 2 Week 1 SF L 5.6 3 26 0 #2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA · vs SF
27 model score · form 30
- Recent form: 30 model points per game over the last 3 (12.6, 34.8, 42.5).
- Last game: 12.6 model points. Earlier average in this log: 34.5.
- Usage: 5 receptions last game vs 9 before that (usage down).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: SF allows 214.8 receiving yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 0.9.
- Model score 27 = 30 × 1 × 0.9. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 LAC W 12.6 5 76 0 Week 3 WSH L 34.8 10 128 2 Week 2 ARI W 42.5 9 155 3 Week 1 NE W 26.2 8 122 1 #3
CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL · vs TB
20.8 model score · form 20.8
- Recent form: 20.8 model points per game over the last 3 (2.9, 41.3, 18.2).
- Last game: 2.9 model points. Earlier average in this log: 31.6.
- Usage: 2 receptions last game vs 10.7 before that (usage down).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: TB allows 234.6 receiving yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 20.8 = 20.8 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 5 TB L 2.9 2 9 0 Week 4 HOU W 41.3 17 189 1 Week 3 BAL L 18.2 7 112 0 Week 2 WSH W 35.3 8 153 2 #4
Tee Higgins
WR · CIN · vs MIA
20.7 model score · form 20.7
- Recent form: 20.7 model points per game over the last 3 (26.7, 21, 14.5).
- Last game: 26.7 model points. Earlier average in this log: 14.8.
- Usage: 11 receptions last game vs 4.7 before that (usage up).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: MIA allows 235 receiving yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 20.7 = 20.7 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 JAX L 26.7 11 157 0 Week 3 PIT L 21 6 90 1 Week 2 HOU W 14.5 5 95 0 Week 1 TB W 8.9 3 59 0 #5
Chris Olave
WR · NO · vs MIN
20.6 model score · form 20.6
- Recent form: 20.6 model points per game over the last 3 (19.6, 19.7, 22.6).
- Last game: 19.6 model points. Earlier average in this log: 23.5.
- Usage: 8 receptions last game vs 9 before that (usage down).
- Injury: no listing on the ESPN report. Multiplier 1.
- Matchup: MIN allows 220.3 receiving yards allowed per game (slate average 231.8). Factor 1.
- Model score 20.6 = 20.6 × 1 × 1. Model output, not a projection.
Game Opp Pts Rec Rec yds Rec TD Week 4 ATL L 19.6 8 116 0 Week 3 LV L 19.7 9 107 0 Week 2 BAL W 22.6 8 86 1 Week 1 DET L 28.2 10 182 0
TE
No TE is scored this week.
Not ranked this week
- Bryce Young · QB · CAR · On a bye in week 5. Not scored this week.
- Kenneth Walker III · RB · KC · On a bye in week 5. Not scored this week.
How a game becomes a score
- Passing yards ÷ 25
- Passing touchdown × 4
- Interception × −2
- Rushing yards ÷ 10
- Rushing touchdown × 6
- Reception × 1 (PPR)
- Receiving yards ÷ 10
- Receiving touchdown × 6
- Recent form is the average of those points over the last three regular-season games on the ESPN game log.
- Usage compares the last game with the earlier games in that log: pass attempts for quarterbacks, rushes plus receptions for running backs, and receptions for receivers and tight ends.
- The matchup factor is opponent yards allowed per game for that position group, divided by the average of the defenses facing this week's lab pool, then clamped between 0.85 and 1.15. A bye is not scored.
- Injury multiplier: unlisted or probable = 1, questionable = 0.85, doubtful = 0.55. Out, injured reserve, and suspension are left off the rankings.
- Model score = recent form × injury multiplier × matchup factor. It is model output from games already played, not a projected point total.